It’s no use pretending that this isn’t a major blow. The emails extracted by a hacker from the climatic research unit at the University of East Anglia could scarcely be more damaging(1). I am now convinced that they are genuine, and I’m dismayed and deeply shaken by them.
Yes, the messages were obtained illegally. Yes, all of us say things in emails that would be excruciating if made public. Yes, some of the comments have been taken out of context. But there are some messages that require no spin to make them look bad. There appears to be evidence here of attempts to prevent scientific data from being released(2,3), and even to destroy material that was subject to a freedom of information request(4).
Worse still, some of the emails suggest efforts to prevent the publication of work by climate sceptics(5,6), or to keep it out of a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(7). I believe that the head of the unit, Phil Jones, should now resign. Some of the data discussed in the emails should be re-analysed.
Personally, I'm very impressed with Mr. Monbiot's admission of the damage these files have caused to the case of CO2 Global Warming. It must have been very difficult for him to come to that conclusion.
Here's another quote from the e-mails, from file 1255550975.txt, written by Kevin Trenberth at UCAR:
How come you do not agree with a statement that says we are no where close to knowing where energy is going or whether clouds are changing to make the planet brighter. We are not close to balancing the energy budget. The fact that we can not account for what is happening in the climate system makes any consideration of geoengineering quite hopeless as we will never be able to tell if it is successful or not! It is a travesty!
So when you hear CO2 climate scientists saying in press releases there's no way that clouds can be driving the climate, you now know the truth is they have no idea if they are or not. Their models can't answer that question.
And it appears that even their climate models have been coded to artificially produce the desired results. From Mann's climate model in the file maps12.pro:
; Plots 24 yearly maps of calibrated (PCR-infilled or not) MXD reconstructions
; of growing season temperatures. Uses "corrected" MXD - but shouldn't usually
; plot past 1960 because these will be artificially adjusted to look closer to
; the real temperatures.
So it seems the CO2 models can't even reproduce the temperatures we already know, let alone make valid predictions about what we don't know.
George Monbiot's Personal Blog
Zip File of Data Taken By Hacker